Details of using the global hurricane and storm prediction form two weeks ago


You are using an agency National Weather Service American offline weather model for the Global Prediction System (GFS) To better predict extreme weather events such as hurricanes, snowstorms and torrential rains, as well as daily weather two weeks in advance, as the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration designedNOAAThe upgraded system, which can catch up with the European weather model that many experts consider to be superior.

According to the British newspaper “Daily Mail”, the model is known as version 16.0, and it includes a global wave model that extends wave forecasts from 10 days to 16 days, as well as the ability to capture the atmosphere up to a height of 50 miles.

The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration says (NOAA), It would lead to better predictions of hurricanes and other extreme events, ocean waves and weather systems higher up in the atmosphere.

Vijay Talabragada, modeling head at the agency’s Environmental Modeling Center, said the new model was much better at predicting the massive blizzard in Colorado earlier this month, as it got the storm’s arrival time and snow quantities with much more accuracy than the old version.

Meteorologists say that this new model does not predict more rain and snow than it actually arrives, as internal studies also showed that the new model was generally more accurate early in the rains in the southeast in February 2020, and Hurricane Dorian in 2019. And Hurricane Michael in 2018.

Also, after it is updated further, this effort will allow the model to absorb more data from geostationary satellites and satellites orbiting in polar orbit, as well as observations of wind, temperature and humidity at the flight level of aircraft.


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